Current Prediction

Last update: October 7th 2018

49%

Factor Possible Points Current Points
Division in the nation 5 5
Is there a path to fix this divide? 10 8
Righteous indignation 15 12
Does at least one side see a path to victory 5 5
Do the people of the nation believe it is likely? 5 3
How is the economy and standard of living? 10 2
Is there a clear geographic divide? 5 4
Is there already violence? 5 2
Have the violent parties lost respect for law and enforcement? 10 2
Is there main street support for either or both of the violent parties? 5 2
Are the politicians using threat of war for political purposes? 10 2
Is there a religious divide 10 1
Is there fighting over natural resources 5 1
Totals 100 49

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