Last update: October 7th 2018
49%
| Factor | Possible Points | Current Points |
| Division in the nation | 5 | 5 |
| Is there a path to fix this divide? | 10 | 8 |
| Righteous indignation | 15 | 12 |
| Does at least one side see a path to victory | 5 | 5 |
| Do the people of the nation believe it is likely? | 5 | 3 |
| How is the economy and standard of living? | 10 | 2 |
| Is there a clear geographic divide? | 5 | 4 |
| Is there already violence? | 5 | 2 |
| Have the violent parties lost respect for law and enforcement? | 10 | 2 |
| Is there main street support for either or both of the violent parties? | 5 | 2 |
| Are the politicians using threat of war for political purposes? | 10 | 2 |
| Is there a religious divide | 10 | 1 |
| Is there fighting over natural resources | 5 | 1 |
| Totals | 100 | 49 |