How did we get here?

But it’s only part of what has happened. The divide goes beyond Donald Trump. Recall that we were “clinging to our guns and bibles” according to President Obama. We are “deplorable” according to Hillary Clinton and we are racist bigots according to just about every Democrat with a microphone.

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Current Prediction

Where are we right now? What changes happened this week to raise or lower the prediction of a second civil war?

Read the current assessment here.

The algorithm

What are the criteria we use to determine the chance of another civil?

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Misconceptions of civil unrest

Many believe that another civil war is not possible. But their premise for this belief is historically misguided.

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What is the purpose of this site?

As a nation gets further from civil war or violence the population may believe that it is less likely, or less troubling if it does happen. Civil Wars in nations have become much more ubiquitous over the last few decades. They are incredibly damaging to the nation and cause widespread suffering and loss. By have a serious and sober discussion perhaps we can avoid the pain of a civil war.

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